Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 70.894746 79.862888 89.067328 99.189085 109.976239 121.099676 133.407688
2025-02-16 56.504206 69.249301 82.957546 98.669318 116.055956 134.593455 155.739790
2025-02-23 48.505784 63.366851 79.912019 99.433827 121.588904 145.725232 173.786842
2025-03-02 41.926576 58.141562 76.771801 99.321178 125.466803 154.462137 188.693659
2025-03-09 37.058570 54.312255 74.709845 99.954920 129.764572 163.315524 203.422698
2025-03-16 32.114656 49.865355 71.472015 98.809771 131.662468 169.157644 214.501509
2025-03-23 29.166213 47.622939 70.655309 100.333461 136.508454 178.254613 229.197930
2025-03-30 26.746614 45.825661 70.198055 102.131216 141.553090 187.492336 243.996144
2025-04-06 23.598017 42.758054 67.895290 101.445596 143.440396 192.891859 254.224836
2025-04-13 20.196573 39.021426 64.468730 99.123327 143.143202 195.549397 261.109813
2025-04-20 19.266231 38.750178 65.576351 102.551030 149.925512 206.684066 278.041414
2025-04-27 17.970095 37.815184 65.699699 104.638215 154.992192 215.726834 292.481033
2025-05-04 15.695080 35.211831 63.419387 103.510769 155.996725 219.863712 301.124763
2025-05-11 13.679191 32.817606 61.287043 102.465732 157.023738 223.976598 309.713938
2025-05-18 12.408614 31.513922 60.621904 103.324156 160.440466 230.999994 321.809290
2025-05-25 11.002825 29.831015 59.296661 103.197529 162.519980 236.324865 331.814321
2025-06-01 9.924885 28.609409 58.577486 103.847774 165.572316 242.839274 343.265096
2025-06-08 8.537811 26.652119 56.623526 102.675572 166.152777 246.201457 350.808927
2025-06-15 7.866012 25.986081 56.620372 104.234933 170.342644 254.114317 363.976438
2025-06-22 7.305251 25.478133 56.828984 106.074450 174.897445 262.492487 377.735190
2025-06-29 6.317188 23.956455 55.326697 105.372936 175.984668 266.423351 385.949724
2025-07-06 5.155045 21.859261 52.751758 102.996511 174.718796 267.280722 390.282383
2025-07-13 5.036838 22.134294 54.141012 106.503976 181.511255 278.531623 407.666010